Saturday, April 28, 2007

AH BUT.............................

Pradeep Bonde said...

"You should trade Episodic Pivots with longer holding periods rather than as day trade. Most of them offer best risk rewards for 2-6 weeks holding periods."

I wouldn't doubt anything you say,believe me,but......
I got the "need for SPEED" :)
And besides this way I couldn't care less if the market slides down for days/weeks/months as I'm all in cash at the end of the day.
Makes for way less stress and that sounds good to me.


Friday, April 27, 2007

BONEHEAD OF THE DAY

Ok, so for the week I had a pretty good win/lose percentage but the closest thing I had to a rocket launch was on Wednesday with IDSA at 25%.
Today I could have probably topped that one but I BLEW IT.
In the chatroom Slotmonkey put up IDMI which turned out to be a super alert.
At the time I was holding quite a few stocks and since I thought to myself, "I don't recognize this stock" I didn't even bother to do a quick chart on it.
It ran from about 7.20 to a hod of 9.68 right near the end of day.
After the close I looked at the chart and couldn't believe it.

...I HAD POSTED ABOUT THIS SAME STOCK ON 4/7!

This is great, here is what I said:

Saturday, April 7, 2007

SPEAKING OF IDMI

As Stockbee would say, IDMI had an episodic moment. That's why it's important to remember Former Runners. This stock may never go again, but many do, and that's why it's important get to know stocks and how they behave.
They may go quiet for a long period of time, but when one day they start running on the HOD list (with volume), you better pay attention!

Ya gotta love where I say "YOU BETTER PAY ATTENTION"
This is why I love trading stocks,you just never know what will happen next.
It's also why I lost an ego a long time ago.
As long as I've been trading I still pull bonehead moves like this on a regular basis, haha.

Every day, "WHAT A RUSH" is right!

WATCHES 4/27

AMRN MDII NNRF ONSM TGEN ZROS CYRX ALAN LGBT KALG BBA IDSA SOLUQ RPTN PACT VII EVCC USSU BTEM BFT

These stocks lost 8% or more yesterday.
Many have good dayrange.
Many have had a recent sq/vol/breakout and have pulled back.
Some have even pulled back into the "zone",EMA30/SMA10.
Ones in this zone are:

MDII NNRF ONSM TGEN CYRX RPTN VII BFT

Ones with big dayrange,listed in descending 30 day average:

BFT NNRF BTEM MDII ZROS CYRX TGEN USSU AMRN ONSM RPTN IDSA ALAN VII

As most of you know I pretty much watch the rolling hod list on Scott to try to find ones I feel will have a good move left.
Talking to some folks about this I was surprised to find that a few didn't realize that when the list is rolling that it will highlight the stocks you have on the screen under it in BLUE.
What I do is put my main list for the day,like this one,up and then put the hod list on,that way when any of these 20 stocks hits the hod list it is so easy to spot.

Wednesday, April 25, 2007

***MY TRADES

DAWG Trades

I've had a few emails asking if I can post my trades I make so I'll try to post the trades I make each day.
I'll do this for the next couple of weeks and if it's popular I'll keep it up, if not I'll stop.
I'll start with Monday's to today's and add a new post every trading day.

Please, if you have any questions as to why I entered any particular stock don't hesitate to comment.
That is what this is about, maybe some can learn off it.

Tuesday 7/10

ASYS in 9.50 out 10.21
BBND in 14.12 out 14.74
CTIC in 4.55 out 4.49
CYTX in 5.88 out 6.04
ELON in 17.39 out 20.50
FONR in 7.09 out 8.61
IMAX 4.53 out 4.66
OBCI in 2.52 out 3.22


Wednesday 5/16

MPWR in 17.03 out 17
NGA in 14.65 out 15.51
CLRK in 25.25 out 26.17
BTEM in 1.74 out 1.90

Traded crappo today,passed on way too many like CFUL AWNE JADE ONT TUBR UVE that I normally would have hopped all over. No killer instinct today and not sure why.

Tuesday 5/15

TBSI in 18.63 out 19.83
AVNR in 2.72 out 2.93
MODG in 2.01 out 2.59
ATEA in 7.59 out 8.75

First day back trading since Wednesday and it felt good.
Out of my 4 trades only 2 I spotted on my own. MODG gave me 29% courtesy of a great headsup by Slotmonkey and the ever hod list stalker,Loki, spotted and alerted AVNR.
If you frequent the chatroom you know I hardly make it there by 9:30 most days as I'm really lazy and get to doing other stuff.My mission is to spend the least amount of time doing stock research as possible and enjoy other things,so when I showed up 45 minutes early today it surprised even me.
Last night on afterhours I saw one of my all time favorite low floaters ATEA up 30% with volume and I could hardly wait to get started.
From the past I remembered this one and how it could run and it paid off.
Like I've said many times,try to log or remember these kind.
From todays chat:

(May 15-08:52) Muddy: gm....JJ, LOKI,you know ATEA,right?

(May 15-08:56) Muddy: but you from past i think was you and/or JJ

(May 15-08:56) Muddy: you know *

(May 15-08:57) Muddy: i traded it before with someone,might have been JJ in old chat,forget

(May 15-08:58) Muddy: its a big runner on no news at times i

(May 15-08:58) Muddy: in past

(May 15-09:06) Muddy: ok,in dec yeah,and i've seen/remember in 2005 when 8 to like 25 ATEA

Wednesday 5/9

OSIS in 28.30 out 29.15
TUBR in 3.65 out 3.98
CELL in 13.60 out 13.69
ENER in 36.10 out 35.77
UHCO in 22 out 21.74
BPHX in 9.05 out 10.12
TEXG in 2.08 out 2.46

No trading for me until maybe next week sometime, getting burned out again, I'm finding it hard to stay motivated and that's not good.

Tuesday 5/8 :

NGA in 12.90 out 13.92
ECGI in 4.04 out 3.84
NILE in 54.18 out 56
KRY in 4.50 out 4.56
COTE in 1.69 out 1.94
STLD in 47 out 48.10
OMPI in 15.81 out 16.89
GOAM in 6.40 out 6.80
UHCO in 19.85 out 20.90


Monday 5/7 :

TEXG in 2.80 out 3.95 ( added more @ 3.19 )
SYNL in 38 out 40.65
SORC in 6.22 out 6.52

Friday 5/4:

SFLY in 18.40 out 18.10
INAP in 17.01 out 18.90
MOBE in 3 out 3.50
NNPP in 1.71 out 1.88
IDMI in 9.02 out 9.13
BIOS in 3.90 out 4.30

Really good day for me to top off one of my better weeks since I've gone to exclusively daytrading
BIOS went from 3.90 to 4.70 in less than 10 minutes which was quite a rush.
It came down from 4.70 so fast I missed my stop at 4.55 and I outted at 4.30 which was still ok.
I jumped right on this one as soon as I saw the b/o because I remembered the huge fast run it did back on 11/22


Thursday 5/3:

IDSA in 14 out 15.12
SWRI in 1.47 out 1.65
TSYS in 4.73 out 4.59
NTLS in 22.06 out 22.90
NVEC in 34.07 out 34.76
EVCC in 2.30 out 2.49
SMDI in 10.50 out 10.89
CPNLQ in 3 out 3.17
CEDC in 33.03 out 33.62
GTI in 11.55 out 12.10

After my stop was hit on EVCC at 2.49 near the end of the day share price plunged to close at 1.94.
It'll be near the top of my watches again for Friday,along with KDKN HPLF NNRF OPBL as ones that took a hit




Wednesday 5/2:

ININ in 17.10 out 18.62
TTMI in 10.51 out 12.09
ANPI in 6.04 out 6.61
EVCC in 1.83 out 2.10

I never saw ANPI hitting the hod list but I traded it off the great headsup by Slotmonkey in our chat.

Caught EVCC again for another 15% making it 52% over the last 2 days.
It has run 83% in the last 2 days and I've gotten 2 nice middle pieces from it.
As I've said before this is my goal, to take middles and move on to the next one.
I'm not trying to guess tops and I'm not trying to guess bottoms, for me anyway, it's alot less stressful and so far I can't argue with my win/loss or profit ratio.



Tues 5/1:

RX in 30.28 out 31.58
TRCR in 14.23 out 15.29
EVCC in 1.33 out 1.82

Good day today, just how I like them, just a couple trades, all good profits with a close to rocket launch on EVCC at 37%


Monday 4/30:

AVNR in 3.70 out 3.60
XFML in 11.60 out 11.60
GROW in 26.80 out 28.05
ROCM in 24.06 out 24.46
IOTN in 6.20 out 6.34
MDII in 1.82 out 1.86
AGIX in 3.18 out 3.45
CRNT in 6.75 still in, held,out Tues 6.94
SNCR in 23.45 out 22.97
IDMI in 9.49 out 10.37

Not a great day for me as there were just too many things I saw running that I liked and in some cases went with not the best choices I guess but that happens. The weird thing was the Nas down 32 and so many good setups.

I flinched on a great alert by member Stockgal on SWRI at a price of under 1.80, then decided to let it go. Big mistake as it climbed steadily to close at 2.24.


Monday 4/23:
FRPT in 21.40 out tues 23.90
KRSL in 22 out 24
DNDN in 15.70 out 16.50
SCR in 16.30 out 17.40
AGEN in 3.39 out 3.55
VION in 1.80 out 2

Tues 4/24:
TRCR in 12.06 out 13.39
HTI in 9.70 out 9.91
CYRX in 2.09 out 2.31

Wednesday 4/25:
RVBD in 32 out 34.50
MBLX in 24.05 out 25
XNPT in 36.80 out 41.10
ZRAN in 21 out 19.50
IDSA in 10.55 out 13.20
ROCM in 27.45 out 27.40
CTDC in 3.63 out 3.75

Thursday 4/26:
VDSI in 19.50 out 22.20
CBRX in 3.03 out 2.91
AGIX in 3.03 out 3.08
AVNR in 3.50 out 3.47
RKT in 40.10 out 42.80
AEIS in 23.90 out 25.25
XNPT in 42.39 out 44.30
AGIL in 7.51 out 7.55
LEND in 11.69 out 12.26

Friday 4/27:
SNTO in 2.65 out 2.87
MCHP in 40 out 41.38
MDII 1.68 out 1.80
QDEL 14.70 out 14.76
MBLX in 27.05 out 28.21
UCTT in 15 out 15.09
IDSA in 14.03 out 14.90
ICGN in 1.50 out 1.60
ULTI in 28.15 out 29.24

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Understand some of these were alerted by others in the chat, I didn't see them all at the time of their volume spike/price upping on hod list. Since I know a ton of stocks I usually know which ones I want to get into.
This is what the chatroom is about and I thank all who participate.

Monday, April 23, 2007

FRPT

Muddy alerted FRPT earlier today in chat and lookie what we have here announced today at 5:00 pm:

CONTRACTS

NAVY

Force Protection Industries, Inc.,* Ladson, S.C., is being awarded $481,414,500 for firm-fixed-priced delivery order (#0003) under a previously awarded contract (M67854-07-D-5031) for additional Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) Low Rate Initial Production (LRIP) vehicles. The Government shall purchase 300 Category I Vehicles and 700 Category II Vehicles, for a total of 1,000 vehicles. Work will be performed in Ladson, S.C., and work is expected to be completed by May 2008. Contract funds will not expire by the end of the current fiscal year. This contract was competitively procured. The Marine Corps Systems Command, Quantico, Va., is the contracting activity.

http://www.defenselink.mil/contracts/contract.aspx?contractid=3501

Hit $25.99 in afterhours, might run a bit in the morning :)

DAY RANGERS WEEK OF 4/23

AVNR EPCT CPNLQ ONT MDII CPST CPTC WITM NRMX CEGE VLNC NUVO DRL AMRN AGIX VG FMT AGEN TOA SCON DYAX PUDC USSU NTBK MEMY FTRS FDMLQ CYRX VYHN CBRX JADE RBY RNVS GMO PCSV NNRF JDO CFPC URZ SCU

SCON which Loki and I saw/alerted hit the hod list with huge volume spikes right at the start of it's big pop on Friday may take off right from open today,4/23.
Loki said at the time it had contract news from the Air Force which hadn't hit the newswires yet at that time.
Looks like the company has just released that news at 7 a.m this morning,might be a runner at open.

Sunday, April 22, 2007

SUMMER'S HERE & THE TIME IS RIGHT...

1979 Trans Am. Worked 400 ci/400+ hp.
Weeeeeeeeeeeeee!





How Muddy Got His Nickname

The 1978 eighteen-inch lift, bad-ass, stump-pullin' Muddtruck.....
Yeeeeehaaaaa, grab your earplugs!